TRACK RECORD

Chapter Summary: The system works whether measured by back-tested simulation, live operation or specific funds


Overall Results

Start End Portfolio Change % Benchmark
Category Date Date Description Buys Average Description
Historical Back-Tested Composite Trend Signals (Per Annum)
Bonds RouteMap 31-Dec-77 31-Dec-99 Signals for Govt. Bonds $ 17% 12% Unweighted average of all trend signals
Forex RouteMap 31-Dec-77 31-Dec-99 Signals for Exchange Rates $ 10% 7% Unweighted average of all trend signals
Shares RouteMap 31-Dec-77 31-Dec-99 Signals for Countries & Regions $ 21% 13% Unweighted average of all trend signals
Styles RouteMap 31-Dec-77 31-Dec-99 Signals for Sectors & Styles $ 18% 10% Unweighted average of all trend signals
Live Performance of All Recommendations (Cumulative)
Shares RouteMap 31-Mar-00 30-Jun-03 Signals for Countries & Regions $ 13% -20% Unweighted average of all action recommendations
Styles RouteMap 31-Oct-00 30-Jun-03 Signals for Sectors & Styles $ 30% -10% Unweighted average of all action recommendations
Published Recommendations for UK Funds (Cumulative)
Investment Adviser 31-Oct-02 31-Oct-03 IMA Sector Reviews £ 27% 9% Bid-to-bid performance of average managed unit trust
Professional Adviser 31-Jan-02 31-Oct-03 Global Growth Portfolio £ 31% 17% Bid-to-bid performance of average managed unit trust
Fund Strategy 31-Mar-00 31-Oct-03 Global Income Portfolio £ 28% 19% Bid-to-bid performance of average managed unit trust

Back-tested Composite Trend Indicators

View cumulative performance charts of those strategies that are suitable for simulated back-testing. Composite Trend Indicators combine Fundamental, Technical and Seasonal Trading strategies in a rating system. The Indicator shows average monthly performance of all markets in each category. The back-tests go back to 1977 when data for sufficient countries first became available to make this statistically meaningful.

A Special Report on Past Performance in Practice

For Professional Investors: Send an email to get a report on the actual performance of all the strategies combined in practice, since PIT was first authorised by the FSA to provide investment advice in April 2000. This contains sophisticated statistical analysis and may not be suitable for all investors. To avoid risks of misunderstanding, it is not available to individual investors. When emailing, please insert details of your position and company, so we can verify that you are an institutional investor or financial adviser. 

This report shows that an exponential improvement in investment performance can be achieved by combining a variety of individually tested strategies. It shows the relative significance of both momentum and valuation philosophies and records results both as absolute returns in US$ and relative to a global benchmark. The effectiveness of both geographic and sectoral approaches is also measured. Results are expressed as cumulative returns for four model portfolios constructed according to differing trading rules reflecting risk characteristics.

Published Recommendations on UK Funds

For individual investors: Email us to check out our fund recommendations to financial advisers in the investment trade press. Nick Dewhirst contributes a weekly column to Investment Adviser and has published timely recommendations for income and growth portfolios close to the bottom of the bear market, respectively in Fund Strategy and Professional Adviser magazines. See details below.

Read Dewhirst's View on different IMA sectors every week Check out Dewhirst's growth portfolio of January 2003 Check out Dewhirst's income portfolio of March 2003
Check out our top tips in all the main IMA funds sector as they are reviewed week by week in "Dewhirst's View", a regular column in the Analyst section. Email us, specifying the sector that interests you to read his independent opinion. Read the interview in Sharp End, where IFAs talk about the products they are recommending. Email us to see why Nick Dewhirst recommended getting back into the market near the bottom in January 2003 and track his growth portfolio . Read "My Asset Allocation", where Nick Dewhirst picks a portfolio for minimising risk and maximising reward at the bottom of the bear market in March 2003. Email us to find out about the funds used for this unconventional income portfolio.
Sectors
(Investment Management Association)
Active Managed
Balanced Managed
Cautious Managed
Europe ex UK
Europe inc. UK
European Smaller Cos.
Far East ex Japan
Far East inc Japan
Global Bond
Global Emerging Mkts
Global Growth
Guaranteed/Protected
Index Bear
Japan
Japanese Smaller Cos.
Money Market
North America
North America Smaller Cos.
Property
Latin America
Specialist
Technology & Telecoms
UK All Companies
UK Corporate Bond
UK Equity & Bond Income
UK Equity Income
UK Gilt
UK Index Linked
UK Other Bond
UK Smaller Companies
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Copyright © 1999 Professional Investment Tools Ltd., authorised by the Financial Services Authority. Independent Financial Adviser (UK) and member of Investorside Research Association (US). Please read Financial Health Warning and Licence Agreement. UK laws apply exclusively. Principal sources: Consensus Economics, Corel Corp., FIBV, Global Financial Data, PIT, national governments and stock exchanges. Information and opinions are based on sources believed to be reliable and accurate. However PIT does not guarantee this to be the case, and does not accept liability for any loss arising. This is for information only and does not constitute a solicitation to deal in any securities. Opinions are liable to change. Past performance is no guarantee of future success. Last modified: November 27, 2003.