TRACK RECORD
Chapter
Summary: The system works whether measured by back-tested
simulation, live operation or specific funds
Overall Results
|
Start |
End |
Portfolio |
|
Change % |
Benchmark |
| Category |
Date |
Date |
Description |
|
Buys |
Average |
Description |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Historical Back-Tested
Composite Trend Signals (Per Annum) |
|
|
|
|
|
| Bonds
RouteMap |
31-Dec-77 |
31-Dec-99 |
Signals for Govt. Bonds |
$ |
17% |
12% |
Unweighted average of all trend signals |
| Forex
RouteMap |
31-Dec-77 |
31-Dec-99 |
Signals for Exchange Rates |
$ |
10% |
7% |
Unweighted average of all trend signals |
| Shares
RouteMap |
31-Dec-77 |
31-Dec-99 |
Signals for Countries & Regions |
$ |
21% |
13% |
Unweighted average of all trend signals |
| Styles
RouteMap |
31-Dec-77 |
31-Dec-99 |
Signals for Sectors & Styles |
$ |
18% |
10% |
Unweighted average of all trend signals |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Live Performance of
All Recommendations (Cumulative) |
|
|
|
|
|
| Shares
RouteMap |
31-Mar-00 |
30-Jun-03 |
Signals for Countries & Regions |
$ |
13% |
-20% |
Unweighted average of all action
recommendations |
| Styles
RouteMap |
31-Oct-00 |
30-Jun-03 |
Signals for Sectors & Styles |
$ |
30% |
-10% |
Unweighted average of all action
recommendations |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Published
Recommendations for UK Funds (Cumulative) |
|
|
|
|
|
| Investment Adviser |
31-Oct-02 |
31-Oct-03 |
IMA Sector Reviews |
£ |
27% |
9% |
Bid-to-bid performance of average managed unit
trust |
| Professional Adviser |
31-Jan-02 |
31-Oct-03 |
Global Growth Portfolio |
£ |
31% |
17% |
Bid-to-bid performance of average managed unit
trust |
| Fund Strategy |
31-Mar-00 |
31-Oct-03 |
Global Income Portfolio |
£ |
28% |
19% |
Bid-to-bid performance of average managed unit
trust |
Back-tested Composite Trend Indicators
View cumulative performance charts of those strategies that are suitable for simulated
back-testing. Composite Trend Indicators
combine Fundamental, Technical and Seasonal Trading strategies in a rating system. The
Indicator shows average monthly performance of all markets in each category. The
back-tests go back to 1977 when data for sufficient countries first became available to
make this statistically meaningful.
A Special Report on Past
Performance in Practice
For Professional Investors: Send
an email to get a report on the actual performance of all the strategies combined in
practice, since PIT was first authorised by the FSA
to provide investment advice in April 2000. This contains sophisticated statistical
analysis and may not be suitable for all investors. To avoid risks of misunderstanding, it
is not available to individual investors. When emailing, please insert details of your
position and company, so we can verify that you are an institutional investor or financial
adviser.
This report shows that an exponential improvement in investment performance can be
achieved by combining a variety of individually tested strategies. It shows the relative
significance of both momentum and valuation philosophies and records results both as
absolute returns in US$ and relative to a global benchmark. The effectiveness of both
geographic and sectoral approaches is also measured. Results are expressed as cumulative
returns for four model portfolios constructed according to differing trading rules
reflecting risk characteristics.
Published Recommendations
on UK Funds
For individual investors: Email us to check out our fund recommendations
to financial advisers in the investment trade press. Nick Dewhirst contributes a weekly
column to Investment Adviser and has published timely recommendations for income and
growth portfolios close to the bottom of the bear market, respectively in Fund Strategy
and Professional Adviser magazines. See details below.
 |
 |
 |
| Check out our top tips in all the main IMA
funds sector as they are reviewed week by week in "Dewhirst's View", a regular
column in the Analyst section. Email
us, specifying the sector that interests you to read his independent opinion. |
Read the interview in Sharp End, where
IFAs talk about the products they are recommending. Email us to see why Nick
Dewhirst recommended getting back into the market near the bottom in January 2003 and
track his growth portfolio . |
Read "My Asset Allocation",
where Nick Dewhirst picks a portfolio for minimising risk and maximising reward at the
bottom of the bear market in March 2003. Email us to find out about the
funds used for this unconventional income portfolio. |
|
Sectors
(Investment Management Association) |
|
| Active Managed |
| Balanced
Managed |
| Cautious
Managed |
| Europe
ex UK |
| Europe
inc. UK |
| European
Smaller Cos. |
| Far
East ex Japan |
| Far
East inc Japan |
| Global
Bond |
| Global
Emerging Mkts |
|
| Global Growth |
| Guaranteed/Protected |
| Index
Bear |
| Japan |
| Japanese
Smaller Cos. |
| Money
Market |
| North
America |
| North
America Smaller Cos. |
| Property |
| Latin
America |
|
| Specialist |
| Technology
& Telecoms |
| UK
All Companies |
| UK
Corporate Bond |
| UK
Equity & Bond Income |
| UK
Equity Income |
| UK
Gilt |
| UK
Index Linked |
| UK
Other Bond |
| UK
Smaller Companies |
|
|