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Bonds: Chronology
Buy on the rumour, Sell on the News
This type of chart lets you
zoom in to look with great magnification at the financial history of any market over any
period in the past quarter of a century. Its main purpose is to show the significance of
key events that do not lend themselves to systematic analysis. This type does not include
a Best Guess. The dates of important events straddle the index at the time and place where
they occurred and a news headline is shown alongside. The selection includes key economic,
political, international and market specific events. These charts are much larger - around
twice the width and three times the length - to make room for the news headlines.
Because these charts extend
well beyond the edges of the page, it is necessary to use the scroll bars on the right and
at the bottom of the main window to locate the period of interest. If no data is
immediately visible, scroll down till the series appears.
In each chart the government
bond market price index is shown by the bold white line ,
the explanatory variables, in this case news headlines, are shown in yellow text and the dates are bright green. The month / year divider marks the precise
point at which each event took place. Common
Problems describes the browser features for exposing a larger part of this chart on
your screen.
In the interests of brevity,
initials often replace full names. If these are unfamiliar to you, explanations can be
found in Alphabet Soup.
To compensate for the
timescale at the bottom, the key dates appear in the plot area at the point where they
occur. The values are in any event indicative only, as each bond price index has
been rebased individually in this type of chart. These can be seen by scrolling to either
the left or right sides of the chart. The Zoom
facility in IE5 is especially useful here.
In order to provide the
maximum possible magnification, the treatment of time periods is also different. Instead
of the normal medium and long-term timescales, there are two cosecutive periods, of which
the former covers the earlier part of the long timescale period and the latter corresponds
to the same timescale as the Decade in other types of chart.
Owing to the conversion of
legacy currencies into Euros, analysis is provided on a common bond market denominated in
Euros, rather than for individual countries. Historical data is provided by creating
synthetic GDP-weighted time-series for the component currencies, expressed in the European
Currency Unit.
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