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Forex: Chronology
Buy on the rumour, Sell on the News
This type of chart lets you
zoom in to look with great magnification at the financial history of any market over any
period in the past quarter of a century. Its main purpose is to show the significance of
key events that do not lend themselves to systematic analysis. This type does not include
a Best Guess. The dates of important events straddle the index at the time and place where
they occurred and a news headline is shown alongside. The selection includes key economic,
political, international and market specific events. These charts are much larger - around
twice the width and three times the length - to make room for the news headlines.
Because these charts extend
well beyond the edges of the page, it is necessary to use the scroll bars on the right and
at the bottom of the main window to locate the period of interest. If no data is
immediately visible, scroll down till the series appears.
In each chart the foreign
currency index is shown by the
bold white line, the explanatory
variables, in this case news headlines, are shown in yellow text and the dates are bright green.
The month / year divider marks the precise point at which each event took place. Common Problems describes the
browser features for exposing a larger part of this chart on your screen.
In the interests of brevity,
initials often replace full names. If these are unfamiliar to you, explanations can be
found in Alphabet Soup.
To compensate for losing
visibility of the timescale at the bottom, the key dates appear in the plot area at
the point where they occur. As regards the vertical value axes, because of the
relatively small percentage movements, Forex History charts are shown using the same
linear scales as in other types of chart, that is to say rebased at 31/12/1994 = 100. The
scales can be seen by scrolling to either the left or right sides of the chart.
In order to provide the
maximum possible magnification, the treatment of time periods is also different. Instead
of the normal medium and long-term timescales, there are two cosecutive periods, of which
the former covers the earlier part of the long timescale period and the latter corresponds
to the same timescale as the Decade in other types of chart. The Zoom facility in IE5 is especially useful here.
In respect of the earlier period, it
has not been feasible to construct a meaningful chart for some emerging market currencies
owing to the exchange controls or hyperinflation.
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