Summary Tables

Ranking tables of our Best Guesses for investing in developed and emerging 51 bond, forex and stock markets

Assets RouteMap  |  Bonds RouteMap  |  Forex RouteMap  |  Shares RouteMap  |  Styles RouteMap

Take a Guided Tour of the Asset Allocation RouteMap

 

Use this RouteMap to find the most attractive asset class

 

Summary Tables

Asset RouteMap

  • Performance Matrix: Total US$ Returns recorded for the last calendar month and year to date by asset class and region
  • Recent Significant Events: Major news headlines over the past decade - political, economic, financial events ranked in date order
  • Summary: Overall action recommendations - combining all contrarian, trend and value strategies, for local currency investors and relative performance
  • Trends: Forecasts, Liquidity, Technical and Seasonal strategies, individually and combined, for local currency investors and relative performance
  • Economic Forecast: Predicted performance based on econometric modelling with upgrade / downgrade indicator for local currency investors and relative performance
  • Invest Sentiment: Year ahead projections based on composite indicators of investor sentiment for local currency investors and relative performance
  • Seasonal Trading Patterns: Historic patterns for the best month in the year to buy and sell for local currency investors and relative performance
  • Valuation: Current yield or earnings yield, relative to regional averages and compared to own past in both absolute and relative value terms
  • Real Value: Current real yield or earnings yield after inflation, arranged as in the Valuation table in both absolute and relative value terms
  • Next National Elections: The last possible date for parliamentary or presidential elections in every country, ranked in date order
  • Exchange Traded Funds: Listings of international ETF, US closed-ended funds and UK investment trusts with relevant investment mandates

Take a Guided Tour of the Government Bond RouteMap

 

Use this RouteMap if you manage international bond funds, or want to invest in them

 

Summary Tables

 

 

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Bonds RouteMap

  • Performance: Total US$ Returns recorded for the last calendar month and year to date in bond, foreign currency and stock markets
  • Recent Significant Events: Major news headlines over the past decade - political, economic, financial events ranked in date order
  • Summary: Overall action recommendations - combining all contrarian, trend and value strategies, for local currency investors, US$ investors and relative performance
  • Trends: Forecasts, Technical and Seasonal strategies, individually and combined, for local currency investors, US$ investors and relative performance 
  • Economic Forecasts: Econometric forecasts of total return estimated for two years, and direction of revisions, expressed in local currency
  • Invest Sentiment: Year ahead projections based on composite indicators of investor sentiment for local currency investors and relative performance
  • Seasonal Trading Patterns: Historic patterns for the best month in the year to buy and sell for local currency investors and relative performance
  • Valuation Summary: Real Yield, Yield/Interest Rate, Yield/PE ratios individually and combined for local and US$ investors and relative performance
  • Valuation (Real Yield): Current bond yield ratio after inflation and divergence from average in past years, ranked by over/under-valuation compared to past
  • Valuation (Yield / Interest Rate): Ratio between bond yield and interest rate to show attractiveness of bonds against cash, ranked by undervaluation versus past
  • Valuation (Yield / PE Ratio): Ratio between bond yield and earnings yield to show attractiveness of bonds compared to shares, ranked by undervaluation versus past
  • Next National Elections: The last possible date for parliamentary or presidential elections in every country, ranked in date order
  • Exchange Traded Funds: Listings of international ETF, US closed-ended funds and UK investment trusts with relevant investment mandates
 

Take a Guided Tour of the Exchange Rate RouteMap

 

Use this RouteMap if you need to hedge foreign foreign exchange rates or invest cash balances worldwide

 

Summary Tables

 

Forex RouteMap

  • Performance: Total US$ Returns recorded for the last calendar month and year to date in bond, foreign currency and stock markets
  • Recent Significant Events: Major news headlines over the past decade - political, economic, financial events ranked in date order
  • Summary: Overall action recommendations - combining all contrarian, trend and value strategies against US$ and SDR
  • Trends: Forecasts, Liquidity, Technical and Seasonal strategies, individually and combined, against US$ and SDR
  • Economic Forecasts: Econometric forecasts of total returns estimated for two years, and direction of revisions against US$ and SDR
  • Invest Sentiment: Year ahead projections based on composite indicators of investor sentiment for local currency investors and relative performance
  • Seasonal Trading Patterns: Historic patterns for the best month in the year to buy and sell currencies against US$ and SDR
  • Valuation Summary: Ratings based on relative Unit Cost, Inflation, Balance of Payments, Interest Rate, Bond Yield and PE against  US$ and SDR
  • Valuation (Real Effective Exchange Rate): Extent of over- or under-valuation against trading partners based on comparative unit labour costs and inflation
  • Valuation (Real Yield Differential): Real yield differential between a country and its trading partners after inflation compared to historical average
  • Valuation (Real Interest Rate Differential): Real interest rate differential between a country and its trading partners after inflation compared to historical average 
  • Valuation (Current Account / GDP): Forecast balance of payments deficit/surplus as a proportion of gross domestic product
  • Next National Elections: The last possible date for parliamentary or presidential elections in every country, ranked in date order
  • Exchange Traded Funds: Listings of international ETF, US closed-ended funds and UK investment trusts with relevant investment mandates
 

Take a Guided Tour of the Stock Market RouteMap

 

Use this RouteMap if you are a global equities fund manager or investor

 

Summary Tables

 

 

 

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Shares RouteMap

  • Performance: Total US$ Returns recorded for the last calendar month and year to date in bond, foreign currency and stock markets
  • Recent Significant Events: Major news headlines over the past decade - political, economic, financial events ranked in date order
  • Summary: Overall action recommendations - combining all contrarian, trend and value strategies, for local currency investors, US$ investors and relative performance
  • Trends: Forecasts, Liquidity, Technical and Seasonal strategies, individually and combined, for local currency investors, US$ investors and relative performance 
  • EPS Forecasts: Top-down forecasts of EPS (change %) estimated for two years, and direction of revisions in EPS in local currency, US$ and relative to global average
  • Invest Sentiment: Year ahead projections based on composite indicators of investor sentiment for local currency investors and relative performance
  • Seasonal Trading Patterns: Historic patterns for the best month in the year to buy and sell for local currency investors, US$ investors and relative performance
  • Valuation Summary: Real PE, PE/Bond Yield, PE/Interest Rate and Market Capital-isation/GDP ratios individually for local and US$ investors and relative performance
  • Valuation (Cyclically-Adjusted PE/Bond Yield): The attractiveness of shares compared to bonds, currently and and ranked in relation to average historic levels
  • Valuation (Cyclically-Adjusted PE/Cash Yield): The attractiveness of shares compared to deposits, currently and ranked in relation to average historic levels
  • Valuation (Market Capitalisation/GDP): Price/sales ratios for whole markets, shown as current ratios and ranked in relation to average historic levels
  • Valuation (Cyclically-Adjusted Real PE): The extent of over/under-valuation compared to fair value based on inflation and normalised EPS
  • Valuation (Forecast EPS & Bond Yield): The extent of over/under-valuation compared to fair value based on current long-term bond yield and next year's EPS
  • Valuation (Overall Average): Current ratios and compared to own past in both absolute and relative value terms, ranked by extent of over/under-valuation
  • Next National Elections: The last possible date for parliamentary or presidential elections in every country, ranked in date order
  • Exchange Traded Funds: Listings of international ETF, US closed-ended funds and UK investment trusts with relevant investment mandates
 

Take a Guided Tour of the Styles and Sectors RouteMap

 

Use this RouteMap if you are a global equities fund manager or investor

 

Summary Tables

 

 

 

 

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Styles RouteMap

  • Performance Matrix: Total US$ Returns recorded for the last calendar month and year to date by style or sector and region
  • Recent Significant Events: Major news headlines over the past decade - political, economic, financial events ranked in date order
  • Summary: Overall action recommendations - combining all contrarian, trend and value strategies, for local currency, US$ investors and relative performance
  • Trends: Forecasts, Key Indicator, Technical and Seasonal strategies, individually and combined, for local currency investors, US$ investors and relative performance 
  • Economic Forecast: Predicted performance based on econometric modelling with upgrade / downgrade indicator for local, US$  investors and relative performance
  • Invest Sentiment: Year ahead projections based on composite indicators of investor sentiment for local currency investors and relative performance
  • Seasonal Trading Patterns: Historic patterns for the best month in the year to buy and sell for local currency investors, US$ investors and relative performance
  • Valuation Summary: Real PE, PE/Bond Yield, PE/Interest Rate and Price/Replace-ment Cost ratios combined for local and US$ investors and relative performance
  • Valuation (Cyclically-Adjusted PE): Current ratios by style or sector and region, and compared to own past in both absolute and relative value terms
  • Valuation (Cyclically-Adjusted PE/Bond Yield): Current ratios by style or sector and region, and compared to own past in both absolute and relative value terms
  • Valuation (Cyclically-Adjusted PE/Cash Yield): Current ratios by style or sector and region, and compared to own past in both absolute and relative value terms
  • Valuation (Cyclically-Adjusted Real EP): Current ratios by style or sector and region, and compared to own past in both absolute and relative value terms
  • Valuation (Replacement Cost): Current ratios by style or sector and region, and compared to own past in both absolute and relative value terms
  • Next National Elections: The last possible date for parliamentary or presidential elections in every country, ranked in date order
  • Exchange Traded Funds: Listings of international ETF, US closed-ended funds and UK investment trusts with relevant investment mandates